Monday, August 23, 2010

Primaries to Watch Tomorrow

Two weeks ago, Huckabee put the political world on notice when his endorsement, campaigning, and volunteers secured a razor-thin margin of victory for Georgia gubernatorial candidate Nathan Deal in the Republican primary.

Tomorrow will feature several primaries with Huckabee-endorsed candidates in Florida, Oklahoma, and Alaska. Here is a quick rundown of the key races:

In Florida, Huckabee-backed state attorney general Bill McCollum is running for governor against former health care executive Rick Scott in a very negative campaign, where Scott has spent over $50 million dollars — mostly on negative ads.

Huckabee appeared on Sunday to campaign for McCollum. Mason-Dixon (+9) and Quinnipiac (+4) both show McCollum with an edge, with PPP showing Scott up (+7). With undecided voters, this race is too close to call.

Huckabee is also backing front-running Daniel Webster in the 12th district and underdog Karen Diebel in a three-way race for the GOP nomination in the 24th district. Huckabee campaigned for both candidates over the weekend. To help phone bank for Diebel, click here.

In Oklahoma, in the 5th district, former state representative Kevin Calvey competes against the Huckabee-backed conservative and surprise newcomer James Lankford in a run-off for US Representative. The two finished within two percentage points of each other in the first primary — and the race remains tight. To phone bank for Lankford, click here.

In Alaska, Palin and Huckabee-backed Joe Miller faces off against incumbent Senator Lisa Murkowksi. What little polling there is shows Murkowski with a comfortable lead and a Miller win would be a big-time upset — but he's the true conservative in the race. To help phone bank for Miller, click here.

My analysis: Wins by any of these candidates will be a win for America and their constituents. From a 2012 perspective, wins by McCollum and Lankford would solidify Huckabee's status as a frontrunner for the GOP nomination. I think wins in these races are very possible, as is Webster's race. Wins by Diebel and Miller (even more so) would be less likely — but possibly even bigger for Huckabee, as upsets. Stay tuned.

Come back tomorrow for commentary and details on following election returns.

1 comment:

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